Since 2008, Egypt’s GDP has grown despite a global financial crisis, two revolutions, and a structural reform program that caused the pound to lose more than half its value. Now, as COVID-19 recoveries outnumber new infections, the government expects the economy to grow 3.1 percent in fiscal year 2020/2021. That compares with a forecast of 3.5 percent before the pandemic, as reported by Reuters in July. However, long-term problems lurk. “We have enjoyed several years of growth, but on volatile pillars,” said Tarek Tawfik, vice chairman at the Federation of Egyptian Industries, during an AmCham webinar in July. “Building [the…
Author: Tamer Hafez
Adapting to changing consumer sentiments has always been critical for the success of any company. Nokia and Kodak, once pioneers in mobile phones and photography, failed to change with the times. Nokia is now a minor player in the digital communications industry, while Kodak filed for bankruptcy in January 2012. The COVID-19 outbreak has put many industries in a similar position to that of Nokia and Kodak when sentiment started shifting away from tried-and-true products. Yet few businesses are anticipating and acting on how consumer mindsets will change after the pandemic. “We’re going to have talks with psychologists and anthropologists…
Joseph Kamau in Kenya, Set Sar in Rhode Island in the United States and Adi Nagara from Jakarta, Indonesia, are workers with low- to mid-level skills who are capitalizing on the digitization of the global economy. Their employers are thousands of kilometers away, and communication and payments are made online. Kamau gets as many as 10 part-time jobs a week entering data for clients around the world, he told The Economist in January. Sar, who spoke to the World Economic Forum (WEF), gets paid to allow an artificial intelligence program to track his eye movements via his computer’s webcam. Meanwhile,…
As plans to coexist with COVID-19 set in, the “new normal” will bring many changes. One is that people may continue to use digital payment methods such as paying online, payment cards, and smartphones as they are convenient and limit close contact with others. Nigel Green, chief executive of deVere Group, a consultancy, sees COVID-19 as a “once-in-a-generation boost” to digital payments. “Without question, this is a major turning point,” he told Raconteur, a special-interest publication. The shift away from face-to-face payments may require a new currency. Currently, when using a payment card between 1 percent and 5 percent of…
As summer approaches, Egypt, other MENA countries, European nations and the United States face lost foreign currency inflows from tourism’s high-season as COVID-19 fears persist. For Egypt that is a significant problem as the sector employs one-tenth of Egyptians, generating $13 billion last year and accounts for 5 percent of GDP, as reported by The Economist in May. That drought could last until there is a mass-produced COVID-19 vaccine. “I think it is important to put this on the table: This virus may become just another endemic virus in our communities and this virus may never go away,” said Michael Ryan, executive…
“Designed in California. Assembled in China.” That phrase on the back of every iPhone shows just how integrated the world has become. An iconic American brand designed locally produced 11,500 kilometers (7,000 miles) away and shipped back to the United States is a testament to how the world has become a “small village.” However, the outbreak of COVID-19 and subsequent lockdowns, particularly in China, has raised alarms — nowhere more so than in Egypt, where the CBE says Chinese goods accounted for 9.4 percent of all imports last fiscal year. That is making local experts and government officials look to…
In Africa, healthcare statistics generally paint a grim picture. According to Mathieux Lamieux, a healthcare consultant who has worked with 22 African governments, the continent carries 24 percent of the global disease burden and 54 percent of its infectious diseases. Yet, it accounts for 14 percent of the world’s population and 2 percent of the physicians, he said in a TED talk. According to the World Economic Forum (WEF), “It would take 300 years and 10 times the expenditure of a typical African economy to have the same access to doctors per capita as developed economies.” However, one advantage of…
With economies collapsing worldwide, Airbnb raised $1 billion from Silver and Sixth Street Partners in April. However, the online lodging portal had to sweeten the deal with a 10 percent interest rate and guarantee investors could sell their stakes at a fixed price. And those investors valued Airbnb at half what it had been in 2017 when the company first raised cash. “Such generous terms [by Airbnb] would be unimaginable under normal conditions,” Bloomberg Opinion columnist Alex Webb wrote in the Economic Times in April. Webb noted such a trend would dominate the global venture capital scene in 2020 and…
The discovery of shale gas in 2014 was a wakeup call for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC): The six nations realized they couldn’t dominate the energy market forever. GCC governments increased their oil output, which sent prices from an average of $93.60 per barrel in 2014 to $48.70 the following year. While the move served to eliminate new competitors, it also laid bare the fragility of GCC markets. “Between 2007 and 2014, revenue growth stopped, but spending grew at a much faster pace. That led to a severe decrease in savings in the region,” Tokhir Mirzoev, a senior economist at the…
Since taking office in 2017, U.S. President Donald Trump has been fixated on how to create jobs for more Americans primarily by fomenting a trade war with China in an attempt to bring back manufacturers like Apple, Levi Strauss & Co., Black & Decker and Mattel, maker of iconic Barbie dolls. Economic lockdowns across the world to limit the spread of COVID-19 will likely accelerate Trump’s plans, as nations look to insulate themselves from future catastrophes by being as self-sufficient as possible, regardless of cost. “There will be a rethink of how much any country wants to be reliant on…